WhyItDropped

KOSPI · October 26, 2023

The autumn rates looked higher for longer

-2.71%

single-day change vs previous close

Part of a longer stretch

Three months of rates staying higher

near the end of it · 2023-08-01 → 2023-10-31, -14.59% over the whole period

What happened that day?

  • The KOSPI fell 2.71% on the day, close to the bottom of this correction
  • The US ten-year yield passed five percent, its highest in sixteen years
  • What marked this rise is that the cause was bond supply rather than inflation. The US government needed to borrow more, so more bonds came to market
  • Rising long-term yields pull money out of emerging markets. When you can earn more safely in America, there is less reason to take the risk
  • Chinese property trouble and conflict in the Middle East overlapped at the same time
  • 31 October was the bottom, and recovery began once it was confirmed the US central bank had stopped raising

Sources

Every figure on this page is recomputed from the original daily closing prices and checked against them at build time. The account of what happened is written from the sources listed above.