WhyItDropped

Nasdaq · May 10, 2000

After the Fed raised half a point

-5.59%

single-day change vs previous close

Part of a longer stretch

The eleven weeks when the bubble first broke

near the end of it · 2000-03-10 → 2000-05-23, -37.32% over the whole period

What happened that day?

  • The Nasdaq fell 5.59% on the day
  • A week earlier the Fed had raised rates by half a point at once, the sixth rise of that cycle and the largest
  • What the Fed meant to cool was inflation; what actually cooled was shares. Assets whose prices have run ahead react to rates first
  • For a company with no profit, rates hurt twice. It must borrow now and borrowing costs more, while the present value of its future profit is marked down at the same time
  • This proved to be the last rise of the cycle, though the market did not know it
  • The index fell for two more weeks and bottomed for this phase on 23 May

Sources

Every figure on this page is recomputed from the original daily closing prices and checked against them at build time. The account of what happened is written from the sources listed above.